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Economic publications

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    Will Arctic shipping routes really reshape the map of global trade?

    The conflict in the Middle East and perturbations in the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted the fragility of the global maritime system. Against this backdrop, Arctic shipping routes are attracting renewed interest, as climate change makes navigation along them easier. Coface’s analysis shows, however, that within five years their commercial impact will remain marginal, although they could nevertheless offer significant benefits for certain commodity flows.

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    From Safe to Exposed: How AI is redrawing the map of work

    More than three years after the launch of ChatGPT, the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on employment remains largely invisible in aggregate statistics. However, it is beginning to emerge on the fringes in certain segments of the labor market, particularly in entry-level roles within the most vulnerable sectors. By providing a unique mapping of the exposure to AI-driven automation of the tasks that make up different occupations, this joint study by Coface and the Observatory of Threatened and Emerging Jobs (OEM) highlights a shift in the frontier of automation.

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  • #Economic publications

    The conflict in the Middle East is causing commodity prices to soar

    25 days after the launch of the Israeli American offensive against Iran, disruptions to the supply of raw materials via the Strait of Hormuz continue to fuel prices volatility. For the time being, oil & gas, fertilizers, petrochemical derivatives and aluminum are particularly affected.

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  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • #Economic publications

    Economic outlook: What to expect in 2026

    Jean-Christophe Caffet, Group Chief Economist at Coface, shared his insights on the key learnings from 2025 and the outlook for 2026 at the latest Coface Country Risk Conference on February 17.

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    US: ‘reciprocal tariffs’ go away, uncertainty stays

    On 20 February, the US Supreme Court invalidated the ‘reciprocal tariffs’ imposed by the Trump administration. This is a major legal setback, but it does not change the overall trade policy landscape. The United States continues to maintain historically high tariffs, and the environment remains unstable for businesses.

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  • Risk Dashboard

    Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • Coface Podcast

    Dive into the world of global trade with Coface's Trade Talk podcast. Explore captivating discussions with trade experts, explore market dynamics, and uncover strategies for growth. 

    Tune in to stay ahead in the world of trade